Libro de Visitas

Michaelhoods

15 Jun 2025 - 05:40 pm

Дневник скетчера

Michaeltielf

15 Jun 2025 - 02:28 pm

Les adherents du parti Les Republicains sont appeles a voter, samedi et dimanche, pour choisir leur futur president. Mais entre Bruno Retailleau et Laurent Wauquiez, peu de differences ideologiques existent : a l’image de ce qu’est devenu leur parti depuis 2017, tous deux font campagne a droite toute en misant sur les questions d’immigration et de securite.
[url=https://kra-33---cc.ru]РєСЂР°33[/url]
Publie le : 16/05/2025 - 10:45
Modifie le : 16/05/2025 - 10:52

6 minTemps de lecture
[url=https://kra33at.ru]kra33[/url]
Par :
Romain BRUNET
Laurent Wauquiez et Bruno Retailleau, le 19 septembre 2024, arrivant a Matignon.
Laurent Wauquiez et Bruno Retailleau, le 19 septembre 2024, arrivant a Matignon. © Ludovic Marin, AFP
Apres plusieurs semaines de campagne, difficile de savoir qui de Bruno Retailleau ou Laurent Wauquiez remportera la presidence du parti Les Republicains (LR). Les adherents du parti de droite sont invites a les departager, samedi 17 et dimanche 18 mai, pour choisir celui qui incarnera desormais LR, avec en toile de fond l’election presidentielle de 2027.

Mais comment choisir entre deux candidats presentant si peu de differences de ligne ideologique ? Bruno Retailleau et Laurent Wauquiez placent constamment l’immigration et la securite au centre de leurs discours. Si bien que pour exister face a un candidat-ministre devenu favori et omnipresent dans les medias, l’ancien president de la region Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes s’est senti oblige de jouer la surenchere en proposant, le 8 avril dans le JDNews, "que les etrangers dangereux sous OQTF [Obligation de quitter le territoire francais] soient enfermes dans un centre de retention a Saint-Pierre-et-Miquelon, hors de l’Hexagone".

kraken33
https://kra--33at.ru

Michaelgar

15 Jun 2025 - 11:34 am

There’s a ‘ghost hurricane’ in the forecast. It could help predict a real one
большой анальный секс
A scary-looking weather forecast showing a hurricane hitting the Gulf Coast in the second half of June swirled around social media this week—but don’t panic.

It’s the season’s first “ghost hurricane.”

Similar hype plays out every hurricane season, especially at the beginning: A cherry-picked, worst-case-scenario model run goes viral, but more often than not, will never come to fruition.

Unofficially dubbed “ghost storms” or “ghost hurricanes,” these tropical systems regularly appear in weather models — computer simulations that help meteorologists forecast future conditions — but never seem to manifest in real life.

The model responsible this week was the Global Forecast System, also known as the GFS or American model, run by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. It’s one of many used by forecasters around the world.

All models have known biases or “quirks” where they tend to overpredict or underpredict certain things. The GFS is known to overpredict tropical storms and hurricanes in longer-term forecasts that look more than a week into the future, which leads to these false alarms. The GFS isn’t alone in this — all models struggle to accurately predict tropical activity that far in advance — but it is notorious for doing so.

For example, the GFS could spit out a prediction for a US hurricane landfall about 10 days from now, only to have that chance completely disappear as the forecast date draws closer. This can occur at any time of the year, but is most frequent during hurricane season — June through November.

It’s exactly what’s been happening over the past week as forecasters keep an eye out for the first storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.
Why so many ghosts?
No weather forecast model is designed in the exact same way as another, and that’s why each can generate different results with similar data.

The reason the GFS has more false alarms when looking more than a week out than similar models – like Europe’s ECMWF, Canada’s CMC or the United Kingdom’s UKM – is because that’s exactly what it’s programmed to do, according to Alicia Bentley, the global verification project lead of NOAA’s Environmental Modeling Center.

The GFS was built with a “weak parameterized cumulus convection scheme,” according to Bentley. In plain language, that means when the GFS thinks there could be thunderstorms developing in an area where tropical systems are possible – over the oceans – it’s more likely to jump to the conclusion that something tropical will develop than to ignore it.

Other models aren’t built to be quite as sensitive to this phenomenon, and so they don’t show a tropical system until they’re more confident the right conditions are in place, which usually happens when the forecast gets closer in time.

The western Caribbean Sea is one of the GFS’ favorite places to predict a ghost storm. That’s because of the Central American gyre: a large, disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms that rotates over the region and its surrounding water.

Pvhduh

15 Jun 2025 - 10:31 am

I've never thought about it that way, but... I heard that high-quality windows can significantly affect the noise in the apartment. Do you think it's worth investing in PVC windows? And where is the best place to buy them?

Kennethswono

15 Jun 2025 - 05:42 am

ВСЕ актуальные ссылки на https://krakenmarkets.shop




Как найти рабочую Кракен ссылку?

Найти рабочую Кракен ссылку может быть непросто из-за большого количества мошенников, предлагающих поддельные сайты. Чтобы найти актуальные ссылки, следуйте этим советам:
• Пользуйтесь только проверенными источниками. Это могут быть популярные форумы или сайты, специализирующиеся на даркнет-площадках.
• Не доверяйте случайным ссылкам из мессенджеров или социальных сетей — они могут быть опасными.
• Ищите актуальные зеркала через сайты-сообщества, посвящённые даркнету.
ОФИЦИАЛЬНАЯ ССЫЛКА на Кракен сайт здесь:
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Не заходите по другим ссылкам. krakenmarkets.shop


Как зайти на Кракен сайт через Tor?
Для безопасного входа на Кракен сайт следуйте этим шагам:
1. Получите рабочую Кракен ссылку:
Найдите актуальную ссылку на krakenmarkets.shop из проверенных источников - krakenmarkets.shop.
2. Откройте ссылку в Tor:
Запустите браузер Tor, вставьте ссылку в адресную строку и нажмите Enter.
Важно: убедитесь, что ссылка безопасна. Проверяйте её на форумах и в сообществах с хорошей репутацией.




Ключевые слова: Кракен Даркнет, Кракен ссылка, Кракен сайт, Кракен Онион.

Alexbab

14 Jun 2025 - 05:52 pm

Несколько советов пользователям
Сайт Кракен знают все, кто хочет купить не совсем законные препараты и услуги. И тем, кто собирается заняться бизнесом. Основная цель площадки – быть гарантом сделок между покупателями и продавцами и решать споры. Но посетителям площадки Kraken следует знать её особенности.
Вход на сервис Кракен
Одна из проблем, с которой сталкиваются пользователи kraken зеркало – проблемы со входом. Так случается из-за блокировок государством и из-за проблем со стороны пользователя.
Обойти блокировку можно такими способами:
• Прокси-сервер или ВПН.
• браузер Тор, обеспечивающий полную анонимность.
• Найти ссылку на зеркало, которое можно открыть даже в обычном браузере.
Метод для входа стоит выбирать с учётом особенностей ситуации. С мобилки на Кракен проще зайти через зеркало – для компьютера подходит браузер Tor.
Как покупать на Кракену
Первая покупка на сайте совершается с помощью Bitcoin. Потом допускаются все варианты:
• Bitcoin. Для его использования не обязательно заводить криптокошелёк. Счёт пополняется с банковской карты, Киви и Яндекс.
• SBP. Для перевода по СБП применяются деньги на счету или терминал.
• телефонного счета.
Интересный и иногда выгодный способ купить товар или заказать услугу – игра в рулетку. При выборе этого варианта открывается поле 10 на 10 клеток – на любые из них можно сделать ставку. Цена одной «фишки» – 1% от суммы. Можно заплатить меньше более чем вдвое.
Решение проблемы
С интерфейсом сайта Kraken легко разобраться. Поэтому у большинства покупателей не возникает серьёзных проблем. А система рейтингов и отзывов почти исключает риск обмана. Продавцы, которые обманывают клиентов, блокируются. Но проблемы иногда возникают – можно купить некачественный товар или столкнуться с ненаходом. В этом случае нужно инициировать спор с магазином, с участием админов Кракена.
Можно столкнуться и с такой проблемой – бан Кракеном. Обычно это вызвано неправильными действиями пользователя. Снизить риск бана получится, избегая нарушений. Если заблокировали неправильно – написать в техподдержку.

Seronyblesk

14 Jun 2025 - 02:08 pm

в чем смысл сказки премудрый пескарь салтыков щедрин
https://www.sigmablog.ru
что произошло в чернобыле кратко
toktiblog.ru
http://www.mirtetriks.ru
чем отличается народность от нации
toktiblog.ru
http://frutilupik.ru
какие явления живой природы можно увидеть зимой
frutilupik.ru
https://www.openkrokzo.ru
кто такой чацкий в горе от ума

Dannyfum

14 Jun 2025 - 11:49 am

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will meet US President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris in Washington on Thursday. Leon Neal/Getty Images
CNN
—
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s visit to the White House on Thursday could be his final chance to convince a receptive American president of his country’s war aims.
megaweb6.at
The precise details of the “victory plan” Zelensky plans to present in separate meetings to President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris are unknown, having been closely held until they are presented to the American leaders.

But according to people briefed on its broad contours, the plan reflects the Ukrainian leader’s urgent appeals for more immediate help countering Russia’s invasion. Zelensky is also poised to push for long-term security guarantees that could withstand changes in American leadership ahead of what is widely expected to be a close presidential election between Harris and former President Donald Trump.

The plan, people familiar with it said, acts as Zelensky’s response to growing war weariness even among his staunchest of western allies. It will make the case that Ukraine can still win — and does not need to cede Russian-seized territory for the fighting to end — if enough assistance is rushed in.

That includes again asking permission to fire Western provided long-range weapons deeper into Russian territory, a line Biden once was loathe to cross but which he’s recently appeared more open to as he has come under growing pressure to relent.

Even if Biden decides to allow the long-range fires, it’s unclear whether the change in policy would be announced publicly.

Biden is usually apt to take his time making decisions about providing Ukraine new capabilities. But with November’s election potentially portending a major change in American approach to the war if Trump were to win, Ukrainian officials — and many American ones — believe there is little time to waste.
megaweb18.at
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Trump has claimed he will be able to “settle” the war upon taking office and has suggested he’ll end US support for Kyiv’s war effort.

“Those cities are gone, they’re gone, and we continue to give billions of dollars to a man who refused to make a deal, Zelensky. There was no deal that he could have made that wouldn’t have been better than the situation you have right now. You have a country that has been obliterated, not possible to be rebuilt,” Trump said during a campaign speech in Mint Hill, North Carolina, on Wednesday.

Comments like those have lent new weight to Thursday’s Oval Office talks, according to American and European officials, who have described an imperative to surge assistance to Ukraine while Biden is still in office.

As part of Zelensky’s visit, the US is expected to announce a major new security package, thought it will likely delay the shipping of the equipment due to inventory shortages, CNN previously reported according to two US officials. On Wednesday, the US announced a package of $375 million.

The president previewed Zelensky’s visit to the White House a day beforehand, declaring on the margins of the United Nations General Assembly his administration was “determined to ensure that Ukraine has what it needs to prevail in fight for survival.”
megaweb3.at
“Tomorrow, I will announce a series of actions to accelerate support for Ukraine’s military – but we know Ukraine’s future victory is about more than what happens on the battlefield, it’s also about what Ukrainians do make the most of a free and independent future, which so many have sacrificed so much for,” he said.

Robuka

14 Jun 2025 - 10:06 am

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Scottpaphy

14 Jun 2025 - 12:01 am

Tbilisi, Georgia — Jailed journalist Mzia Amaghlobeli gets weaker every day as her hunger strike has reached three weeks in Rustavi, a town near the Georgian capital of Tbilisi, her lawyer says. Now the 49-year-old is having difficulty walking the short distance from her cell to the room where they usually meet, and human rights officials, colleagues and family fear for her life.
kra28.cc
Amaghlobeli was arrested Jan. 12 during an anti-government protest in the coastal city of Batumi, one of over 40 people in custody on criminal charges from a series of demonstrations that have hit the South Caucasus nation of 3.7 million in recent months.
kra21.at
The political turmoil follows a parliamentary election that was won by the ruling Georgian Dream party, although its opponents allege the vote was rigged.

Protests highlight battle over Georgia's future. Here's why it matters.
Its outcome pushed Georgia further into Russia's orbit of influence. Georgia aspired to join the European Union, but the party suspended accession talks with the bloc after the election.

As it sought to cement its grip on power, Georgian Dream has cracked down on freedom of assembly and expression in what the opposition says is similar to President Vladimir Putin's actions in neighboring Russia, its former imperial ruler.
kra25 cc
https://kra22at.com